Commodity Peak, Dollar Bottom
One of our recurring themes is that US monetary policy has been too loose for at least the last five years and that the rapid “emergency” interest rate cuts from September 2007 through April 2008 – implemented to address credit market turmoil – were a mistake.
Gold prices hovered around $665/ounce in the six months through late August 2007. By mid-March, gold had risen roughly 50% to above $1000/oz. and still stands at about $900/oz. today. In addition, oil, which had been at about $75/barrel last August, rose 85% to a peak of $139/bbl. earlier this month and is now at about $135/bbl.
The purchasing power of the US dollar had dropped not only against commodities but versus other major currencies that have not adopted as inflationary a monetary policy as the Federal Reserve. For example, while it took $1.36 to buy a Euro last August, it took $1.60 in ... Read More...
